‘85% of claims in clinical negligence fail’

The MDU’s report for 2016 asserts that 85% of claims closed during the year were successfully defended – an impressive figure.  These claims will generally relate to doctors’ private work or the general work of GPs.  This compares with the NHSLA reporting for 2016/17 that 55% of claims were resolved without the payment of damages.  Of concern to the MDU, in addition to their expenses in defending those claims, was, in relation to successful claimants, understandably the amount in costs paid to successful claimant’s lawyers and the higher value of damages as a result of the reduction in the discount rate used to calculate the value of future losses.

But perhaps of concern to all those involved in advising in such claims, including the medical expert witnesses, is the apparent failure to sift out a much larger percentage of these claims before they were progressed.  It is in nobody’s interest to run a claim that fails or has to be abandoned – certainly not the claimant’s (or the claimant’s family’s) or the clinician’s, and very rarely in the interest of the lawyer who is effectively financing the claim on behalf of the claimant.

A careful, complete, proper and realistic assessment of the prospects of a claim and the evidence available in relation to it by the medical expert, with careful consideration of (and application of) the standard of proof, the Bolam test or the Montgomery test and all issues of causation of damage (‘did any breach of duty make a difference in outcome’) should mean that few claims are progressed that have to be abandoned subsequently.  And the claimant lawyer should be ensuring that the expert’s opinion stands up to scrutiny on all of these counts.

Perhaps too many experts and lawyers do not fully understand what their role is and what the law requires to be proved to bring a successful claim.

Interestingly in relation to professional conduct claims, the MDU reported that of those GMC cases that went to a panel hearing, their in-house solicitors ‘achieved a finding of no impairment for 54.5% of members, compared with the GMC’s most recent four-year average figure of 22% (2012–15)’.  Does this reflect an increase in unjustified complaints being made, an improvement in the quality of work of the in-house solicitors, a statistical blip, or what?

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Relying on the burden of proof to dismiss a complicated claim

In Barnett v Medway NHS Foundation Trust [2017] EWCA Civ 235 the Court of Appeal considered an appeal against the trial judge’s dismissal of a clinical negligence claim on the basis that the claimant had failed to prove the claim on the balance of probabilities.  The judge did not therefore make express findings as to which experts’ evidence carried greater weight.

It is rarely that it is considered appropriate for a claim to be resolved on this basis.  In Stephens v Cannon [2005] EWCA Civ 222 it was said:

A court which resorts to the burden of proof must ensure that others can discern that it has striven to make a finding in relation to a disputed issue and can understand the reasons why it has concluded that it cannot do so. The parties must be able to discern the court’s endeavour and to understand its reasons in order to be able to perceive why they have won and lost. An appellate court must also be able to do so because otherwise it will not be able to accept that the court below was in the exceptional situation [my emphasis] of being entitled to resort to the burden of proof.”

In Verlander v Devon Waste Management [2007] EWCA Civ 835 the Court of Appeal stated that:

First, a judge should only resort to the burden of proof where he is unable to resolve an issue of fact or facts after he has unsuccessfully attempted to do so by examination and evaluation of the evidence. Secondly, the Court of Appeal should only intervene where the nature of the case and/or the judge’s reasoning are such that he could reasonably have been able to make a finding one way or the other on the evidence without such resort.…

In Verlander the Court of Appeal emphasised that the use of the word “exceptional” in Stephens meant no more than that resorting to the balance of probabilities is only necessary where on the available evidence, conflicting and/or uncertain and/or falling short of proof, there is nothing left but to conclude that the claimant has not proved his case.

The burden of proof remains part of our law and practice – and a respectable and useful part at that — where a tribunal cannot on the state of the evidence before it rationally decide one way or the other.”

In Barnett the claimant suffered from a rare congenital condition, hypophosphatasia, resulting in deficient bone mineralisation and a tendency to stress fractures.  He was admitted to hospital with acute pain at the back of his thigh.  He was given antibiotics, and was discharged home after 2 weeks in hospital.  He was readmitted as an emergency just over a month later with an abscess in his spine at L5/S1 and infarction of the lower thoracic spinal cord, resulting in paraplegia at T7.

The issues at trial revolved around what blood cultures, if taken prior to the administering of antibiotics during his first admission to hospital, would have revealed, and whether that would have resulted in more effective treatment of the infection.  The defendant argued that it was likely that even if cultures were obtained no infection would have been detected at that time.  The claimant was markedly vulnerable to infection and was on a combination of drugs which would probably have diminished the effectiveness of his immune system.

The 2 experts called had clearly found answering the questions very difficult.  As the Court of Appeal summarised:  “Not only was the medicine particularly difficult, but the evidence of the 2 microbiology experts was expressed in difficult and shifting terms … both experts shifted position.  The evidence of both experts was somewhat rebarbative … Taken as a whole [the claimant’s expert’s] evidence fell short of establishing probability.

The trial judge was therefore entitled, on the particular facts of this case and given the state of the expert evidence at trial, to conclude that the claimant had failed to discharge the burden of proof, and therefore without concluding that either expert was probably right or probably wrong.  The judge was however criticised for the brevity of his judgment in justifying this approach.

Joint discussion

An additional point of note, and remarked upon with some surprise by the Court of Appeal, was that at the joint discussion the microbiologists had not been asked to consider whether cultures taken following the initial admission to hospital would have revealed infection, although this was a very important issue and was considered at trial in the oral evidence of the experts.  Primary responsibility for preparation of an agenda for a joint discussion lies with the lawyers.  Experts often comment that an agenda is of little assistance, but here is an example of a case where one of the issues which was of considerable importance for the claim was omitted by the lawyers and was not therefore discussed prior to the trial.

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